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Chinese Apples Pose Threat
To US Apple Industry

Our pieces, China Plays Down Food Safety Problems and Chinese Garlic and Food Safety, both dealt with the implications of food safety problems in China.

The Associated Press did a piece entitled, US Apple Growers Brace For China Rivals, pointing out that, even with its food safety troubles, China is a large potential threat to the U.S. apple industry:

“We’re facing a threat that we’ve never faced before in terms of their ability to come in and essentially replace every apple that we produce in this country numerically and at a much lower cost,” said John Rice, a seventh-generation grower whose grandfather made money in the Depression era by gathering apples from area growers and shipping them to England in 100-pound barrels.

Rice’s family today owns 1,000 acres of orchards and packs and markets apples for 50 area growers primarily in Pennsylvania’s historic growing area in Adams County, on the Maryland border.

“We have to lower our costs and we have to do what other successful business have done in the face of Chinese competition and that is to innovate, to stay ahead, to either grow new varieties that they don’t grow in China, or whatever it takes,” Rice said.

Fifteen years ago, China grew fewer apples than the United States. Today, it grows five times as many — nearly half of all apples grown in the world.

China’s advantage is its cheap labor. A picker makes about 28 cents an hour, or $2 per day, according to the U.S. Apple Association. In 2005, workers in Pennsylvania made about $9 to $10 per hour, and those in Washington state about $14 per hour, the association said.

Right now fresh Chinese apples are not enterable in the U.S.:

Discussions between the U.S. and China over whether its fresh apples can be brought into the United States have been going on since 1998.

To gain access to the market here, China must prove that it meets U.S. standards for pest and disease control. The U.S. Apple Association said the Department of Agriculture’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service sent a list of more than 300 insects and diseases of concern to the quarantine inspection agency of the Chinese government in 2003. The Chinese government responded the next year, and then the United States asked for information on 52 pests from the list.

 

AP Photo: Graphic shows China’s apple production over time.

Though the U.S. competes against China for sales to third countries:

Already, U.S. apple growers compete with Chinese growers for sales in parts of Southeast Asia and India.

And American growers are haunted by their experience with the apple juice market:

After Chinese juice concentrate entered the U.S. market, the average price for juice apples fell from $153 per ton in 1995 to $55 per ton in 1998. The industry filed an antidumping case but lost on appeal with the U.S. Commerce Department. Today, more than half of imported concentrate comes from China.

“It was an uproar within the industry,” said Jim Allen, president of the New York Apple Association. “What can we do? It just takes the bottom right out of our market when the product is being delivered to New York City for less than we can process and harvest it here in the United States.”

But U.S. growers are fighting to stay on top:

Like in many areas of farming, many U.S. apple-growing operations have been absorbed by bigger ones. Some smaller remaining operations have survived by selling directly to consumers at farmers markets or developing niche markets selling organic or specialty apples.

Third-generation Pennsylvania grower Dave Benner, 61, like most growers, has slowly replaced older larger trees in his orchard with smaller dwarf ones that are close together. That makes the fruit easier and faster to pick. He also pays close attention to consumer demand and to the world market.

“Business is still business whether you’re in agriculture production or you’re in commercial manufacturing,” Benner said. “When people want small economical cars then the automobile industry had to change. When people say they like the flavor of Gala or Fuji apples … that’s what I have to be growing.”

As we discussed here the apple industry is focusing on mechanization:

Because more than half of the cost of growing apples goes toward labor, researchers have been working to develop technology and practices that will help cut labor costs. Among the concepts under development are machines that will allow apples to be mechanically picked without bruising, and platforms that lift up pickers so they don’t have to climb ladders.

The apple industry is working with other fruit and vegetable industries to seek, in the 2007 Farm Bill, about $1 billion annually for research, a state block program, a program that helps it develop overseas markets and for expansion for a program that provides fruits and vegetables to school kids.

But many growers are praying for country-of-origin labeling:

The current Farm Bill, which was worth about $100 billion, passed in 2002 and expires in September. In it, country-of-origin labeling was mandated, but its implementation has been delayed until September 2008 because of opposition by retailers and others who say it is too burdensome.

Most apples already carry the labeling, but Mark Barrett, 52, a grower in Washington’s Yakima Valley, said full implementation is the best way to help U.S. apple growers. “I believe if we had country-of-origin labeling that the consumers would buy U.S. all the time,” Barrett said.

Allen, the head of the New York apple growers group, said it would be hard to promote U.S. apples as being better than foreign-grown apples if consumers can’t be sure where they have been grown.

One bad apple, he said, might give all apples a bad name.

We suspect country-of-origin labeling may be a bit anti-climactic for growers. After all Americans are not compelled to buy American cars, clothes or otherwise. Why would they suddenly get so concerned on apples.

Although Jim Allen’s point, which basically is to use the law to enable a marketing campaign, makes a lot of sense.

It would be idiotic not to be concerned but we have noticed plenty of exports to areas such as Scandinavia even though plentiful and less expensive European apples are readily available. Why? Because some people will pay more for something exceptional.

With China’s enormous population becoming more affluent, we can expect that — if we produce something special — an imported apple is likely to be an affordable luxury.

If so, very low per capita consumption of imported American apples could be an enormous boon for the American industry.

Is the glass half empty or half full? It may be too early to say but if we keep our eye on producing the best apple in the world, we certainly have a shot at finding potential in this enormous market.

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